import numpy as np import matplotlib as mpl mpl.use('tkAgg') import matplotlib.pyplot as plt from numpy import sqrt from scipy.integrate import quad import os # from sketch_ridge import generate_haar_matrix, theta_1, theta_2, MSE_original, MSE_primal, MSE_dual, MSE_full, \ # MSE_marginal, MSE, optimal_lambda n = 1000 gamma = 0.7 p = int(n * gamma) n_test = 500 alpha = 1 sigma = 1 np.random.seed(45620) beta = np.random.randn(p, 1) * alpha / np.sqrt(p) X_train = np.random.randn(n, p) epsilon_train = np.random.randn(n, 1) * sigma Y_train = X_train @ beta + epsilon_train np.random.seed(130) X_test = np.random.randn(n_test, p) epsilon_test = np.random.randn(n_test, 1) * sigma Y_test = X_test @ beta + epsilon_test K = 5 batch_size = int(n / K) steps = 20 lbd_seq = np.linspace(0.1, 3, steps) CV_err = np.zeros((steps, K)) for i in range(steps): print(i) lbd = lbd_seq[i] for j in range(K): test_idx = np.arange(j * batch_size, (j + 1) * batch_size, 1, dtype=int) X_j = X_train[test_idx, :] Y_j = Y_train[test_idx, :] train_idx = list(set(np.arange(0, n, 1, dtype=int)) - set(test_idx)) X = X_train[train_idx, :] Y = Y_train[train_idx, :] beta_cv = np.linalg.inv(X.T @ X / (n - batch_size) + lbd * np.identity(p)) @ X.T @ Y / (n - batch_size) CV_err[i, j] = np.linalg.norm(Y_j - X_j @ beta_cv) ** 2 / batch_size lbd_cv_idx = np.argmin(np.mean(CV_err, 1)) lbd_cv = lbd_seq[lbd_cv_idx] lbd_cv_debiased = lbd_cv * (K - 1) / K lbd_cv_debiased_idx = 0 for i in range(steps): if lbd_seq[i] >= lbd_cv_debiased: lbd_cv_debiased_idx = i break min_err = np.min(np.mean(CV_err, 1)) one_std_err = min_err + np.sqrt(np.var(CV_err[lbd_cv_idx, :])) one_std_err_idx = 0 for i in range(steps): if np.mean(CV_err, 1)[i] < one_std_err: one_std_err_idx = i break one_std_err_lbd = lbd_seq[one_std_err_idx] X_train_2 = np.random.randn(n, p) epsilon_train_2 = np.random.randn(n, 1) * sigma Y_train_2 = X_train_2 @ beta + epsilon_train_2 test_err = np.zeros(steps) for j in range(steps): lbd = lbd_seq[j] beta_ridge = np.linalg.inv(X_train_2.T @ X_train_2 / n + lbd * np.identity(p)) @ X_train_2.T @ Y_train_2 / n # test_err[i, j] = np.linalg.norm(beta_ridge - beta) ** 2 test_err[j] = np.linalg.norm(Y_test - X_test @ beta_ridge) ** 2 / n_test lbd_smallest = lbd_seq[np.argmin(test_err)] print("Improved test error by debiasing: ", test_err[lbd_cv_idx] - test_err[lbd_cv_debiased_idx]) plt.errorbar(lbd_seq, np.mean(CV_err, 1), np.std(CV_err, 1), capsize=2, label='CV errorbar') # plt.plot(lbd_seq, np.quantile(CV_err, q=0.95,axis=1)) # plt.plot(lbd_seq, np.quantile(CV_err, q=0.05,axis=1)) # plt.plot(lbd_seq, np.mean(CV_err, axis=1)) plt.plot(lbd_seq, test_err, label='Test error', linewidth=2) plt.plot(one_std_err_lbd * np.ones(10), np.linspace(1.4, 2.2, 10), ls=':', color='red', linewidth=2, label='One-Std') # plt.plot(lbd_seq, np.mean(CV_err, 1)[one_std_err_idx] * np.ones(steps), ls=':', color='red', linewidth=2) plt.plot(lbd_cv * np.ones(10), np.linspace(1.4, 2.2, 10), ls='--', linewidth=3, label='CV min') plt.plot(lbd_cv_debiased * np.ones(10), np.linspace(1.4, 2.2, 10), ls='-.', linewidth=3, label='Debiased CV min') plt.plot(lbd_smallest * np.ones(10), np.linspace(1.4, 2.2, 10), ls='-.', label='Test error min', linewidth=3) plt.grid(linestyle='dotted') plt.xlabel(r'$\lambda$', fontsize=14) plt.ylabel('CV test error', fontsize=14) plt.title(r'CV test error, $\gamma={}$'.format(gamma), fontsize=14) plt.legend(fontsize=12) plt.savefig('Plots/CV_test_error_gamma_{}.png'.format(gamma)) plt.plot(lbd_seq, test_err) plt.plot(lbd_smallest * np.ones(10), np.linspace(1.3, 1.65, 10), ls=':') plt.plot(one_std_err_lbd * np.ones(10), np.linspace(1.3, 2.5, 10), ls='-.', color='red', linewidth=3) plt.plot(lbd_cv * np.ones(10), np.linspace(1.3, 2.5, 10), ls='--', linewidth=3) plt.plot(lbd_cv_debiased * np.ones(10), np.linspace(1.3, 2.5, 10), ls='-.', linewidth=3) lbd_seq[np.argmin(np.mean(test_err, 0))] lbd_seq[np.argmin(np.mean(CV_err, 1))] one_std_err_lbd